Rating Action
Johannesburg, 07 October 2021 – GCR Ratings (“GCR”) has withdrawn the long-term issue credit ratings assigned to the APF12 Note issued by Accelerate Property Fund Limited (“Accelerate”) following its full capital redemption.
Concurrently, GCR has affirmed the long-term issue ratings of A-(ZA)(EL) assigned to the existing Senior Secured Notes (“the Notes”). A Rating Watch Negative remains on all ratings.
Rated Entity / Issue | Rating class | Rating scale | Rating* | Outlook / Watch |
Senior Secured APF04 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
Senior Secured APF06 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
Senior Secured APF07 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
Senior Secured APF09 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
Senior Secured APF10 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
Senior Secured APF11 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
Senior Secured APF12 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | WD | — |
Senior Secured APF14 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
Senior Secured APF15 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
Senior Secured APF16 Notes | Long Term Issue | National | A-(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative |
*The Senior Secured Note ratings are based on an estimate of the expected loss in the event of an issuer default and are a function of the estimated probability of default of the issuer and the potential losses that may be incurred. As such, these ratings carry an “(EL)” suffix. The expected loss ratings assigned to the notes issued therefore differs from the ‘BBB(ZA)’ long-term senior unsecured credit rating of the Issuer.
Rating Rationale
The ratings on the Notes is derived by notching up from the national scale long term issuer rating assigned to Accelerate Property Fund Limited (“Accelerate”, “the Issuer”) to BBB-(ZA), Rating Watch Negative. GCR’s modelled assumptions for the Senior Secured Note indicate that the stressed recovery rate has declined to 79.1%, from 81.6% at the August 2021 review. Nevertheless, a rating uplift of three national scale notches was still deemed to be appropriate for the Senior Secured Notes, on the expectation that recoveries will improve following the sale of non-core assets.
Outlook Statement
The Rating Watch Negative reflects the potential for additional downgrades to the Issuer if the proposed assets sales and the refinancing activity are not timeously concluded.
Rating Triggers
A downgrade of the issuer ratings would necessarily translate to a downgrade of the ‘EL’ ratings. Additionally, if a continuous deterioration in recovery prospects on the EL ratings is observed, this could also result in downward rating pressure. The rating outlook could return to stable if the Issuers’ operating performance stablises, alongside the conclusion of the asset sales and refinancing agreements.
Analytical Contacts
Primary analyst | Eyal Shevel | Sector Head: Corporate Ratings |
Johannesburg, ZA | Shevel@GCRratings.com | +27 11 784 1771 |
Committee chair | Sheri Morgan | Senior Analyst: Corporate Ratings |
Johannesburg, ZA | Morgan@GCRratings.com | +27 11 784 1771 |
Related Criteria and Research
Criteria for the GCR Ratings Framework, May 2019 |
Criteria for Rating Real Estate Investment Trusts and Other Commercial Property Companies, May 2019 |
Criteria for Secured Bond Expected Loss Credit Ratings, July 2021 |
GCR’s Country Risk Score report, published October 2021 |
GCR’s SA Sector Risk Score report, published April 2021 |
Accelerate Property Fund Limited Rating Announcement, 25 August 2021 |
Ratings History
Accelerate Property Fund Limited
Rating class | Review | Rating scale | Rating | Outlook/Watch | Date |
Long term Issuer | Initial | National | BBB+(ZA) | Stable Outlook | Feb 2014 |
Short Term Issuer | Initial | National | A2(ZA) | ||
Long term Issuer | Last | National | BBB-(ZA) | Rating Watch
Negative |
Aug 2021 |
Short Term Issuer | Last | National | A3(ZA) |
Stock Code | Review | Rating scale | Rating* | Outlook/Watch | Date |
APF04 | Initial | National | AA-(ZA) | Stable | Oct 2016 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF06 | Initial | National | AA-(ZA) | Stable | Aug 2017 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF07 | Initial | National | AA-(ZA) | Stable | Jun 2018 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF09 | Initial | National | AA-(ZA) | Stable | Jul 2018 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF10 | Initial | National | AA-(ZA)(EL) | Stable | Oct 2019 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF11 | Initial | National | AA-(ZA)(EL) | Stable | Oct 2019 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF12 | Initial | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Negative | Aug 2020 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF14 | Initial | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Negative | Sep 2020 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF15 | Initial | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Negative | Feb 2021 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 | |
APF16 | Initial | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Negative | Jun 2021 |
Last | National | A(ZA)(EL) | Rating Watch Negative | Aug 2021 |
SALIENT POINTS OF ACCORDED RATINGS
GCR affirms that a.) no part of the ratings process was influenced by any other business activities of the credit rating agency; b.) the ratings were based solely on the merits of the rated entity, security or financial instrument being rated; and c.) such ratings were an independent evaluation of the risks and merits of the rated entity, security or financial instrument.
The credit ratings have been disclosed to Accelerate Property Fund Limited. The ratings above were solicited by, or on behalf of, the rated entity, and therefore, GCR has been compensated for the provision of the ratings.
Accelerate Property Fund Limited participated in the rating process via face-to-face management meetings, tele-conferences and other written correspondence. Furthermore, the quality of information received was considered adequate and has been independently verified where possible.